Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga and South Korean President Moon Jae-in on Thursday phoned the US President-elect Joe Biden and discussed issues including strengthening bilateral ties, tackling the coronavirus pandemic, climate change and regional security.
Extending his commitment to Seoul’s call for bolstering relationship, denuclearization and peace in the Korean peninsula, Biden affirmed that Seoul was a “lynchpin of the security and prosperity of the Indo-Pacific region” and he would closely cooperate to resolve the North Korea nuclear issue.
Both Tokyo and Seoul, of late, have been trying to balance ties between Beijing and Washington. Although they rank their relations with the US very high, the two countries seek to harness the advantages from quick Chinese recovery, which initially got its economic growth stalled due to the Covid-19 outbreak but rebounded strongly.
Last week, the Japanese foreign ministry told Newsweek that China is the world's second largest economy with which Japan’s “relationship is one of the most important bilateral relationships for Japan" and vowed to thin out the bilateral issues in high-level meetings and visits.
Ever since Yoshihide Suga became the new prime minister of Japan in September, it was expected that he would keep his focus on economic reforms in the country and likely modulate posing Australia-India-Japan-US strategic grouping, the Quad, as a cohesive multinational military front against China.
While in a his speech to the Japanese parliament Suga abjured to describe “free and open Indo-Pacific” a strategy or vision to preclude giving it a China-containment look, his relatively a moderate pitch in Vietnam about creating “an Indo-Pacific NATO” against Beijing is being seen a balanced regional approach by the experts.
Notwithstanding Japan warned it isn’t going to pull out from decades-old territorial claims over the Pinnacle Islands in the East China Sea, still the response “Japan continues to deal with the situation in a calm and resolute manner” somewhat poured cold water on the American ambitious China-targeted plans in the backdrop of virus-hit Japanese economy.
As Beijing and Tokyo look to resume business travel between the two intertwined economies by mid-November and Japan’s export steadies including rising shipments to China for the third consecutive month in September – the improving economic indicators could beseech Suga to put off differences at some other time and keep his emphasis on accelerating trade with China to fast-track the country’s economic recovery.
The Republic of Korea (ROK) also struck a gallant tone, stating that the resumption of the historical bilateral exchanges in 1992 (with China) would pave the way “for forging friendly and cooperative relations for the future.”
Insinuating the outcome of the bilateral consultations between Beijing and Seoul and President Moon Jae-in visit to China in December 2017 leading into the normalization of the bilateral ties – the ROK foreign ministry said "Relations between the ROK and China continue to develop in a stable way with active high-level exchanges."
It sent a powerful message to the US that the ROK seeks to refresh its relationship with China. The statement carried more weight as Seoul continues to iron out differences with Beijing on the deployment of THAAD or any other US-led missile defense systems to ease off Chinese suspicions.
ROK conciliatory moves to China have strategic overtones for the US. As Seoul has been threatened by Washington over withdrawal of the US troops from the Korean peninsula vis-à-vis differences on the cost sharing agreement – the progressive change would weaken Washington’s campaign to check Beijing’s growing influence.
Seoul’s proclivity to Beijing has been on the rise for some time. ROK ambassador to the US Lee Soo-hyuck recently said "Just because Korea chose the US 70 years ago does not mean it has to choose the US for the next 70 years, too," noting that Seoul was recognizing the importance of its economic relationship with Beijing.
Again, it is the economic interests that turns out to be the main perpetrator in ransacking the primeval ROK-US alliance and Trump’s imposing instinct has incremented its pace. This paradigm shift, if invaded into the other American partners, could blow the final whistle on the global leadership bout, with end-result favoring China, beforehand.
In the past few months, the Trump administration has stroked a colossal damage to the US international credibility through its pointless policies. The president’s brazen and often-derogatory attitude has consistently pressed the historic American allies to rethink their ties with the US much earlier they would have thought.
With Tokyo maintaining the best relationship with China, ROK Foreign Minister Kang Kyung-wha refusing to shoulder the “structured alliance” and ASEAN alongside Australia, China, New Zealand, Japan and ROK gearing up to sign the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) – another daunting task would shortly test ability of the coming Biden administration, restore America’s trust across the Indo-Pacific.
*This is one of my opinion pieces (unedited) that first appeared in "New Straits Times":
https://www.nst.com.my/opinion/columnists/2020/11/642363/indo-pacific-ties-will-test-biden
https://www.nst.com.my/opinion/columnists/2020/11/642363/indo-pacific-ties-will-test-biden